Tuesday, May 13th 2025, 4:19 pm
Last week, Green Country experienced cold air funnels, and although visually striking, they rarely pose much of a threat.
Stephen Nehrenz breaks down "Cold Air Funnels" and our May weather so far, This Week in Weather
Last week, Green Country saw some weather that sparked a few questions, specifically about strange-looking funnel clouds. These weren’t your typical spring storm funnels but rather cold air funnels, a phenomenon triggered by colder temperatures in the upper atmosphere rather than the surface.
Stephen Nehrenz explained that these funnels form when mild surface temperatures clash with colder temperatures aloft due to an upper-level low. While they look dramatic, they rarely touch down or cause damage. We saw these in northwestern Oklahoma, but nothing dangerous developed.
After an incredibly active April, the last week or so has offered a rare spring break from severe storms, thanks in part to a stubborn cap in the atmosphere. This warm air aloft prevents thunderstorms from forming, even when everything else is in place.
However, that quiet stretch won’t last much longer. Upper-level patterns are shifting, and Nehrenz expects more classic severe weather setups to return by Sunday and into next week.
That includes potential daily rounds of storms in eastern Oklahoma and southeast Kansas.
Nehrenz walked through Oklahoma’s historical tornado averages. May is typically the busiest month for tornadoes, averaging around 24–25 tornadoes statewide.
Related Story: Nearing record highs soon before weekend storm chances return
Nehrenz said these storms won’t be constant, but we could see multiple rounds of severe weather, especially by Sunday.
A key concept in forecasting severe weather is the cap, a layer of warm air that blocks rising air from developing into storms. Breaking the cap usually requires:
Through Friday, the cap is expected to hold. But by Sunday, it weakens, opening the door for more widespread storm activity.
As we head into graduation season and major weekend events, Nehrenz encourages everyone to have indoor backup plans and review severe weather safety tips.
“We’ve had a nice break by May standards,” he said. “But we can only hold it off for so long.”
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