Storm chances return to Oklahoma this week as temperatures stay above normal

Storm chances will return to Oklahoma later this week, with above-normal temperatures, elevated fire danger, and the potential for strong storms over the weekend.

Monday, March 24th 2025, 5:59 am

By: News On 6

TULSA, Okla. -

Storm Chances Return to Oklahoma Later This Week

Temperatures will remain above normal throughout the week, with elevated fire danger at times, before a series of storm systems bring a chance for beneficial rain and thunderstorms to parts of northeastern Oklahoma.

A weak system will move through the area on Wednesday as a warm front attempts to develop across north Texas and nudge into southern Oklahoma. However, most, if not all, precipitation will stay south of the region.

7-day rain chance timeline

A stronger upper-level wave will approach the state on Thursday and Friday, increasing the chances of rain and thunderstorms, with the strongest system arriving during the latter half of the weekend.

Severe weather threats are expected to remain low initially but could increase over the weekend if deeper moisture arrives ahead of the systems.

Short Term Weather

A weak cold front will move through the area later tonight, but its impact will be minimal beyond a wind shift.

Temperatures this afternoon will reach the mid to upper 70s under mostly sunny skies, with gusty southwest winds at 15 to 25 mph.

Monday highs

Tuesday morning temperatures will start in the upper 40s and lower 50s, with daytime highs climbing to the lower to mid-80s. A mix of sunshine and clouds is expected, along with mostly light north winds around 5 to 12 mph.

On Wednesday morning, showers and storms are likely in southcentral Oklahoma but should remain outside of our immediate area of concern.

Wednesday rain zone

We anticipate mostly sunny conditions, with lows near 50 and highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

North winds will persist for the first part of Wednesday before returning from the south by afternoon, at around 7 to 12 mph.

When will storm chances Return?

Active weather will return for the latter half of the week. Scattered showers and storms are expected to develop on Thursday, including early in the morning near and north of the Tulsa Metro area.

Thursday rain chances

A few storms may briefly reach strong to near-severe levels. Morning lows on Thursday will be in the 50s, with highs near 80.

A series of disturbances will move across the central and southern Plains from Friday through the weekend.

Cloudy conditions are likely, with highs in the mid to upper 70s and a few lower 80s. Morning lows will remain mild, near 60.

There will be a chance for scattered showers and storms on Friday, a slight chance on Saturday, and higher probabilities of showers and storms late Saturday night into early Sunday as an upper-level system and cold front approach the area.

Saturday storm risk

During this time, strong to severe storms will become more likely.

Sunday severe risk

This period should represent the best chance for measurable precipitation that our immediate area has experienced in quite some time.

Do We have Fire weather concerns Today?

Fire weather remains a concern today.

Monday fire threat

While exceptionally strong winds are not forecast, gusty winds of 15 to 25 mph, combined with dry vegetation and low humidity (ranging from 15% to 25%) this afternoon, will lead to increased fire spread rates.

Monday wind timeline

Lower wind speeds are expected on Tuesday and Wednesday before gusty south winds return on Thursday through the end of the week.

Wildfire Prep:

🔗What is a controlled burn? Rules on when and how you can safely do them

🔗Oklahoma Forestry Service prepares firefighters for potential wildfire threats

🔗How to protect your home from wildfires: Tips from experts

🔗Oklahoma fire danger: How rural fire departments prepare for days of extreme danger

🔗Red Cross shares tips for preparing wildfires

Need to know severe weather prep:

🔗Severe weather safety: what you need to know to prepare

🔗Tornado Watch vs. Tornado Warning: what they mean and what to do

🔗Severe weather safety: what to do before, during, and after a storm

Emergency Info: Outages Across Oklahoma:

Northeast Oklahoma has various power companies and electric cooperatives, many of which have overlapping areas of coverage. Below is a link to various outage maps.